Application of statistical analysis for parameter validation in measuring road network vulnerability performance

Authors

  • João Evangelista Dantas dos Santos Universidade Federal do Ceará
  • Bruno Vieira Bertoncini Federal University of Ceará https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1434-1960

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.47456/bjpe.v10i2.44663

Keywords:

Vulnerability of the Road Network, Performance Parameters, Statistical Analysis, Topology

Abstract

The form of the road network influences users' travel time in interruption situations. Studies on road network vulnerability generally do not consider this characteristic, which can lead to incorrect conclusions. The objective of this work is to analyze the impact of choosing the performance parameter in the assessment of vulnerability, using regular and irregular networks as models. For this purpose, this work consisted of a literature review on road topology and road network vulnerability, modeling and simulation of two scenarios, and analysis of the results using descriptive statistics and parametric tests. Travel time proved to be a parameter sensitive to the form of the network, with the irregular network showing longer travel times than the regular network. On the other hand, the flow and speed parameters did not show significant differences between the networks. Choosing appropriate parameters is crucial to understanding the impact of interruptions on the transportation system. Travel time, being sensitive to the form of the network, should be considered in the planning and management of road networks. The results of this study assist in decision-making by public managers, communication with society, and the development of more resilient cities.

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Author Biographies

João Evangelista Dantas dos Santos, Universidade Federal do Ceará

PhD candidate in the Graduate Program in Transportation Engineering, focusing on Transportation System Operation and Planning with an emphasis on Logistics and Freight Transport. - Master’s degree in Transportation Engineering from the Federal University of Ceará (2014-2016), specializing in Transportation Systems Planning and Operation, participating in the Freight Transport and Logistics Research Line. His research deals with the Analysis of the Vulnerability of Urban Freight Transport Routes, addressing the application of Reliability, Maintenance, and Risk concepts to measure the risk of irregular and unpredictable events. - Specialist in Occupational Safety Engineering from Faculdade Doutor Leão Sampaio. - Holds a Bachelor's degree in Mechanical Production Engineering from URCA - Regional University of Cariri (2009-2014), completed with a proposal to use the DMAIC methodology to evaluate the concepts of Lean Manufacturing and SMED in the Plastic Injection department. - Holds a Technical degree in Occupational Safety from SENAI - National Industrial Learning Service (2008-2010). - He was a University Professor and Coordinator of the Undergraduate Program in Production Engineering, Civil Engineering, Information Systems, and Internet Systems, offered by the Catholic University Center of Quixadá (UNICATÓLICA). - He was a University Professor in the Undergraduate Program in Production Engineering and Civil Engineering offered by Faculdade Paraíso do Ceará (FAP). - Currently, he is a Substitute Professor in the Undergraduate Program in Mechanical Production Engineering offered by the Regional University of Cariri (URCA).

Bruno Vieira Bertoncini, Federal University of Ceará

Associate Professor at the Department of Transport Engineering at the Federal University of Ceará. He holds a Bachelor's degree in Civil Engineering from the State University of Maringá (2005), a Master's degree in Transport Engineering from the School of Engineering of São Carlos at the University of São Paulo (2007), specializing in Transportation Systems Planning and Operation, and a Ph.D. in Sciences from the Graduate Program in Transport Engineering at the School of Engineering of São Carlos, University of São Paulo, in the area of Transportation Systems Planning and Operation (2010). He was a Postdoctoral Fellow under the National Postdoctoral Program (PNPD), funded by CAPES, at the Graduate Program in Transport Engineering at UFC (2011/2012). He became a Professor in the Department of Transport Engineering at the Federal University of Ceará in 2012. He is currently the Director of the Technology Center at the Federal University of Ceará. He became a CNPq Research Productivity Fellow in 2016. He is the Scientific Director of the National Association for Research and Education in Transport Engineering (2023/2024). His research interests include: Transport Systems Planning; Freight Transport and Logistics; Study of Atmospheric Pollutant Emissions from the Transport Sector; Transport Modeling; Estimation of Synthetic Origin-Destination Matrices.

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2024-06-10

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Santos, J. E. D. dos, & Bertoncini, B. V. (2024). Application of statistical analysis for parameter validation in measuring road network vulnerability performance. Brazilian Journal of Production Engineering, 10(2), 326–339. https://doi.org/10.47456/bjpe.v10i2.44663

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